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Published on Friday, 25 March 2016 20:53

Volta a Catalunya

Stage 6 - Sant Joan Despi to Vilanova i la Geltru

Saturday March 26th, 197.2kms

Woet Poels?!

Woet Poels?! What was that about eh..? The Sky man made the break shortly after out man Kiryienka tried and just failed to get away, unlucky with that. It's clear though that Sky were happy to try to get up the road today than work for Swift, glad I steered clear of him.

Definitely was a day to keep stakes small though so no major harm done. In Harelbeke we were unlucky with the forever-second Peter Sagan, I haven't caught up on the race yet, but sounded amazing! 

A stage that should be for the sprinters, with a few lumps along what is an untypically flat stage for Catalunya. There is a little lump 5kms from the finish that you can barely see on the profile below that could see some late attacks ahead of a likely sprint finish. 

A really hard stage to call again tomorrow, a break could make it but I haven't a clue who could make it tomorrow, it was quite a random selection got away today after all. Maybe we could try Kiryienka again at 50/1, he might try again tomorrow - it's a pretty crap price compared to 150/1 today, but I think we rang the alarm bells with them about him by picking him today and he nearly getting away. Pieter Weening could also try again now he had a day to recover, he's 100/1.. They might be bigger elsewhere, but I am severely limited on battery power and don't have time to look around right now!!

If it does come to a late attack we could see Roche giving it a go again at 33/1, but if it comes to a sprint, it really is impossible to try to pick any of them with confidence. Gerrans, Impey, Swift, Gilbert, Meersman.. they could all be there, or nowhere.. Maybe Gerrans seeing as he 'won' the bunch sprint behind today for 6th place and he won't mind that little lump near the finish. Gilbert at 18/1 might offer some value, as he could go in the break of the day, go late on that little lump, or could be up there in the sprint like on stage 2. Not a day for big stakes again though. 

Recommendations: 

0.5pts each-way on Philippe Gilbert at 18/1 with Bet365

0.25pts each-way on Vasil Kiryienka at 50/1 with Bet365 

0.2pts each-way on Pieter Weening at 100/1 with 365

Matchbets

None that interest me right now.. 

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